Daily Archives: December 21, 2018

How to keep a trading journal?

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I traded professionally for 4 years and used a trading journal since day one. Back then, I used word and excel to log data such as:

  1. trade activity
  2. pnl performance
  3. mistakes
  4. goals
  5. volume
  6. fees
  7. best performing stocks
  8. best performing strategies
  9. profit ratio
  10. win rate
  11. etc.

A journal is the most efffective mechanism to look under the hood of your trading system and find out what is wrong. Without it, you don’t know what to do to improve and why you are losing.

I believe so much in journaling that I ended up creating my own online trading journal system.

Is it worth joining prop trading firm as a day trader?

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Yes.  Trading today is no different than when Jesse Livermore traded stocks in the “bucket shops” of the early 1900’s.  He was able to beat them consistently even though they had every advantage.  He was able to out think them.  It can still be done today.

The most important aspect of trading is to understand that trading is all in your head.  It is not in the markets.  Your “playing field” is not your computer screen or chart, these are merely tools for you to accomplish the task.  Your “playing field” is your mind.  That is where the game is won or lost.  Most traders play “checkers” when the traders you are trading against are playing “chess” and are 3-4 moves ahead of your thinking.  If you want to beat them you need to start playing chess.

There are bots and algorithms in all trading now.  The human mind can out think any robot or bot they can build.

Can I break into prop trading with no formal background?

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Trading with your own money is one of the least effective ways to enter the trading space professionally at a hedge fund or a large bank, especially for quantitative trading.

There is a lot of selection bias.  Suppose that I am a manager who is looking to hire traders and you are someone who traded from home and made money for three years.  Well, I have hundreds of resumes that land on my desk each month.  By luck, there will be dozens of resumes each month that will have a track record as good as yours or better.

If I based my decision on just performance alone, I’d pick the highest Sharpe ratio traders that apply.  This is not the right strategy for me to follow, to be clear, but if I did, because of the large universe of applicants and selection bias, the people I’d pick would have something like 4 or 5 losing weeks a year (over the time they reported returns).  Even if you know what you’re doing, it’s very unlikely that you can produce that kind of return through skill alone.  This isn’t how I should pick traders because then I am just reacting to noise and luck, not skill.

So that’s why hiring managers at hedge funds and banks use other signals.  They look at things like, which traders did you work with before — can they get a reference from someone they know is good?  What other achievements, ones that aren’t as subject to luck, do you have?  (Someone who is World Champion in Rubik’s Cube or a past NFL player may have a better shot at getting into a hedge fund — quant in the first case, non-quant in the second case, that just someone who has traded from home.)

With all that said, if you have a strategy with positive EV to your best judgment and aren’t restricted from trading it, you should be trading it.  But you need to have a stronger resume than that to get a position within a top hedge fund or bank.